Quel est le plan B de la communauté internationale en cas d'échec du CPT ?

What is the Plan B of the International Community in Case of the CPT Failure?

By Patrick Prézeau Stephenson (le français suit)

The political landscape in Haiti remains tumultuous, with the Conseil Présidentiel de Transition (CPT) facing internal strife that threatens its stability and effectiveness. As this critical body navigates the complex terrain of transitional governance, the international community closely monitors its progress, ready with a contingency plan should the CPT falter. The necessity of a Plan B has been underscored by recent events and statements from key figures such as Pierre Espérance, the Executive Director of the National Human Rights Defense Network (RNDDH), and retired US General Russel L. Honore [1,2].

The Current Situation

The CPT, established to guide Haiti through a period of transition, has been embroiled in internal conflicts that undermine its mission. The latest controversy centers on the designation of Edgard Leblanc Fils as the president of the CPT. This move, perceived by some as a coup against the consensus of the April 3 agreement, has intensified the discord within the council. Espérance has criticized this lack of consensus, warning that it jeopardizes the council's legitimacy and effectiveness.

On May 14, during an interview on Volcy Assad's show "Le Rendez-vous," Espérance highlighted the urgent need for the CPT to adhere to the April 3 agreement. This agreement outlines critical steps for political stabilization and governance reforms. Failure to comply, he warned, would trigger severe consequences, including the implementation of a Plan B by the international community[1].

General Honore's Perspective

Retired General Russel L. Honore, a figure with close ties to the White House, echoed the urgency of decisive action in a tweet. He called for immediate steps to stabilize Haiti, advocating for the appointment of a Prime Minister or adherence to Article 149 of the Haitian Constitution. His message was clear: the international community will not stand by passively as Haiti's political crisis deepens. Honoré's call to "Lead, follow, or get the hell out of the way" underscores the impatience and resolve of international stakeholders [2].

The April 3 Agreement

The April 3 agreement is pivotal for Haiti's future, setting forth a roadmap for the CPT to follow. It includes commitments to enhance governance, ensure public security, and prepare for democratic elections. Espérance has stressed that adherence to this agreement is non-negotiable. The CPT's inability to honor this accord risks not only its internal cohesion but also its credibility with international partners.

The Nature of Plan B

While Espérance did not disclose specific details about Plan B, its alledged existence reflects the international community's preparedness to intervene if the CPT fails. This alternative plan likely involves more direct international oversight or even the replacement of the CPT with a more effective governing body. The rationale behind Plan B is to prevent the political vacuum and chaos that would ensue from the CPT's collapse, ensuring continuity in governance and the pursuit of necessary reforms.

Implications of Plan B

The implementation of Plan B would signify a major shift in Haiti's political dynamics. It would indicate the international community's loss of confidence in the CPT's ability to govern effectively. Such a move could involve:

1. Appointment of an Interim Government: An interim government sanctioned by the international community could be established to assume the transitional responsibilities of the CPT by applying Article 149 of the Constitution.

2. Increased International Oversight: Greater involvement from international bodies such as the United Nations or regional organizations to oversee the transition process and ensure compliance with reform mandates.

3. Enhanced Security Measures: Deployment of international security forces to stabilize the country and support the implementation of crucial reforms.

Conclusion

The possibility of implementing Plan B underscores the critical moment Haiti is facing. The CPT must overcome its internal conflicts and adhere to the April 3 agreement to avoid triggering greater international interference. As articulated by Espérance and General Honore, the time for decisive action is now. The CPT must focus on the "urgent major projects"—essential reforms and necessary security measures to pave the way for a stable and democratic Haiti. Failing to do so will not only jeopardize their current position but also open the door for external actors to intervene and steer the country on their own terms.